Identifying Financial Crises Using Machine Learning on Textual Data

Using text analyis on OECD Economic Outlooks to nowcast and forecast economic crises.

Active · Mary Chen, Matthew DeHaven, Isavel Kitschelt, Seung Jung Lee, Martin J. Sicilian

The Global Recovery: Lessons from the Past

The COVID-19 recesion is extremely severe compared to past recessions, but perhaps there is evidence that the recovery will also be steep.

June 2021 · Dario Caldara, Matthew DeHaven, Francesco Ferrante, Matteo Iacoviello